《DOTA2》简单的代码计算下LGD积分前4的可能性和概率

2025-11-19 13:54:01

DOTA2

灰尘聚集体：最可怕的结果是：
3月7日ehome赢了lgd，3月12日vg又赢了lgd，3月13日小象就坡下驴输给magma，这样lgd就得和magma打降级附加赛了
伤害一般，侮辱性极强发布于 2021-09-20 20:44:22

家养火狐：你这个胜率也没什么毛病.不过得再乘上赢eh得概率0.5和赢vg的概率0.2就差不多了.0.4×0.5×0.2 你再写个程序算算.多少来着? 发布于 2021-09-20 15:34:22

as85931892010：看看你match怎么写的?讲道理这种预测类你得根据历史战绩跑个模型吧？发布于 2021-09-20 15:32:42

我的杀意已决3：我怎么感受到了一种“打平即可出线”的既视感。发布于 2021-09-20 14:40:22

maggiemmmmm11：叽叽开？？？？？？？？？发布于 2021-09-20 13:04:42

月之死祭女：没意义，lgd关键局容易尿发布于 2021-09-20 13:00:42

天琊的噬魂：又到了中国队算出线几率的时候？发布于 2021-09-20 12:16:42

2368217fmg：比赛概率要是都看成55开那计算就没意义了比如小象打MGM 能算成55开吗。如果加赛的是小象和LGD
就LGD 最近打小象的胜率能算成55开吗
不如测下3队同分 LGD 直接扑街的概率吧三队同分5-2 的概率更高发布于 2021-09-20 12:14:12

灵符醉客小号：然后根据最终lgd有没有出线，可以反推极大似然胜率发布于 2021-09-20 12:05:32

珺瀞：不用算了，发布于 2021-09-20 11:56:52

Darling灬柒：你这，工作量不饱和啊发布于 2021-09-20 11:54:22

版本背包：这也要计算吗？指定冠军100% 发布于 2021-09-20 11:52:52

Bayean：关键就2场，一场lgd vg，一场vg 小象发布于 2021-09-20 11:48:42

5221211998：Lgd,我算是没指望喽发布于 2021-09-20 11:39:22

裁决丶King：昨天看vg打茶队感觉ig要7-0，lgd得靠自己后面两局都得赢发布于 2021-09-20 11:09:02

尘世如此美：lgd的命运还是掌握在自己手中，只要自己后面两场全胜，必定加赛发布于 2021-09-20 10:32:52

囡囡小石榴：知道了，明天报名去做码农发布于 2021-09-20 10:08:52

和蔼的gaben：lgd vg 小象这几个队打你可以算55开，小象打lbzs直接算胜利，这样算法就不会太复杂发布于 2021-09-20 10:08:22

随影55555：明早去南通水厂报道，数据分析师这个位子给你留了好久了发布于 2021-09-20 10:05:32

wniao0：只要平局，国足就进出线了发布于 2021-09-20 10:03:42

qwerfdsa87：只要lgd后面二场赢了就肯定能加赛，vg和小象无论谁输都有三个败场了发布于 2021-09-20 09:58:02

暴走的冰女mm：一个好消息，OG快没了发布于 2021-09-20 09:55:32

_手写的从前i：指定概率的话，高中概率知识不是就解决了吗？指定概率的话还需要多次实验采集数据吗？发布于 2021-09-20 09:50:42

暴走的冰女mm：Team{name=ig, score='6'}
Team{name=vg, score='5'}
Team{name=aster, score='5'}
Team{name=lgd, score='3'}
Team{name=elephant, score='3'}
Team{name=ehome, score='3'}
Team{name=magma, score='2'}
Team{name=lbzs, score='1'}
输一把也有机会发布于 2021-09-20 09:50:32

力量本不可怕：除了前四后面几支队伍去哪发布于 2021-09-20 09:50:32

符合国家33：别模拟了，LGD进前四的前提只有一个，后面两把全胜。发布于 2021-09-20 09:49:32

去了奥：你他娘的不去国足应聘真是可惜了发布于 2021-09-20 09:49:22

暴走的冰女mm：明天把胜率算进去再测试下发布于 2021-09-20 09:48:02

暴走的冰女mm：Team{name=ig, score='6'}
Team{name=elephant, score='5'}
Team{name=vg, score='4'}
Team{name=aster, score='4'}
Team{name=lgd, score='4'}
Team{name=magma, score='2'}
Team{name=lbzs, score='2'}
Team{name=ehome, score='1'}
========================
Team{name=ig, score='6'}
Team{name=elephant, score='5'}
Team{name=vg, score='4'}
Team{name=aster, score='4'}
Team{name=lgd, score='4'}
Team{name=magma, score='2'}
Team{name=lbzs, score='2'}
Team{name=ehome, score='1'}
========================
Team{name=ig, score='7'}
Team{name=vg, score='6'}
Team{name=aster, score='4'}
Team{name=lgd, score='3'}
Team{name=elephant, score='3'}
Team{name=magma, score='3'}
Team{name=ehome, score='2'}
Team{name=lbzs, score='0'}
========================
Team{name=aster, score='6'}
Team{name=ig, score='5'}
Team{name=vg, score='5'}
Team{name=lgd, score='3'}
Team{name=elephant, score='3'}
Team{name=magma, score='2'}
Team{name=lbzs, score='2'}
Team{name=ehome, score='2'}
========================
Team{name=ig, score='7'}
Team{name=aster, score='5'}
Team{name=elephant, score='5'}
Team{name=vg, score='4'}
Team{name=lgd, score='4'}
Team{name=ehome, score='2'}
Team{name=magma, score='1'}
Team{name=lbzs, score='0'}
========================
Team{name=vg, score='6'}
Team{name=ig, score='5'}
Team{name=aster, score='5'}
Team{name=lgd, score='3'}
Team{name=elephant, score='3'}
Team{name=magma, score='3'}
Team{name=ehome, score='2'}
Team{name=lbzs, score='1'}
========================
Team{name=aster, score='6'}
Team{name=ig, score='5'}
Team{name=vg, score='4'}
Team{name=lgd, score='4'}
Team{name=elephant, score='4'}
Team{name=magma, score='2'}
Team{name=ehome, score='2'}
Team{name=lbzs, score='1'}
========================
Team{name=ig, score='6'}
Team{name=vg, score='6'}
Team{name=aster, score='4'}
Team{name=lgd, score='3'}
Team{name=elephant, score='3'}
Team{name=magma, score='3'}
Team{name=ehome, score='2'}
Team{name=lbzs, score='1'}
========================
Team{name=ig, score='6'}
Team{name=aster, score='6'}
Team{name=vg, score='5'}
Team{name=lgd, score='4'}
Team{name=elephant, score='3'}
Team{name=magma, score='2'}
Team{name=ehome, score='2'}
Team{name=lbzs, score='0'}
========================
Team{name=ig, score='6'}
Team{name=vg, score='6'}
Team{name=aster, score='5'}
Team{name=lgd, score='3'}
Team{name=elephant, score='3'}
Team{name=magma, score='2'}
Team{name=lbzs, score='2'}
Team{name=ehome, score='1'}
========================
Team{name=ig, score='5'}
Team{name=vg, score='5'}
Team{name=aster, score='5'}
Team{name=lgd, score='4'}
Team{name=elephant, score='3'}
Team{name=magma, score='3'}
Team{name=lbzs, score='2'}
Team{name=ehome, score='1'}
========================
Team{name=ig, score='6'}
Team{name=vg, score='5'}
Team{name=aster, score='5'}
Team{name=lgd, score='3'}
Team{name=elephant, score='3'}
Team{name=ehome, score='3'}
Team{name=magma, score='2'}
Team{name=lbzs, score='1'}
========================
Team{name=ig, score='6'}
Team{name=aster, score='6'}
Team{name=vg, score='5'}
Team{name=lgd, score='4'}
Team{name=elephant, score='3'}
Team{name=magma, score='2'}
Team{name=lbzs, score='1'}
Team{name=ehome, score='1'}
========================
Team{name=ig, score='6'}
Team{name=vg, score='5'}
Team{name=aster, score='5'}
Team{name=lgd, score='3'}
Team{name=elephant, score='3'}
Team{name=ehome, score='3'}
Team{name=magma, score='2'}
Team{name=lbzs, score='1'}
========================
Team{name=ig, score='7'}
Team{name=aster, score='5'}
Team{name=vg, score='4'}
Team{name=lgd, score='4'}
Team{name=elephant, score='4'}
Team{name=magma, score='2'}
Team{name=lbzs, score='1'}
Team{name=ehome, score='1'}
========================
Team{name=ig, score='6'}
Team{name=aster, score='5'}
Team{name=elephant, score='5'}
Team{name=vg, score='4'}
Team{name=lgd, score='4'}
Team{name=magma, score='2'}
Team{name=lbzs, score='1'}
Team{name=ehome, score='1'}
========================
Team{name=ig, score='7'}
Team{name=aster, score='5'}
Team{name=elephant, score='5'}
Team{name=vg, score='4'}
Team{name=lgd, score='4'}
Team{name=magma, score='1'}
Team{name=lbzs, score='1'}
Team{name=ehome, score='1'}
========================
Team{name=ig, score='7'}
Team{name=elephant, score='5'}
Team{name=vg, score='4'}
Team{name=aster, score='4'}
Team{name=lgd, score='4'}
Team{name=magma, score='2'}
Team{name=ehome, score='2'}
Team{name=lbzs, score='0'}
========================
Team{name=ig, score='6'}
Team{name=aster, score='6'}
Team{name=vg, score='4'}
Team{name=lgd, score='4'}
Team{name=elephant, score='4'}
Team{name=magma, score='2'}
Team{name=ehome, score='2'}
Team{name=lbzs, score='0'}
======================== 发布于 2021-09-20 09:47:52

暴走的冰女mm：Team{name=aster, score='6'}
Team{name=ig, score='5'}
Team{name=vg, score='4'}
Team{name=lgd, score='4'}
Team{name=elephant, score='4'}
Team{name=magma, score='2'}
Team{name=ehome, score='2'}
Team{name=lbzs, score='1'}
========================
Team{name=ig, score='6'}
Team{name=vg, score='4'}
Team{name=aster, score='4'}
Team{name=lgd, score='4'}
Team{name=elephant, score='4'}
Team{name=magma, score='3'}
Team{name=ehome, score='2'}
Team{name=lbzs, score='1'}
========================
Team{name=ig, score='6'}
Team{name=aster, score='5'}
Team{name=vg, score='4'}
Team{name=lgd, score='4'}
Team{name=elephant, score='4'}
Team{name=magma, score='2'}
Team{name=lbzs, score='2'}
Team{name=ehome, score='1'}
========================
Team{name=ig, score='6'}
Team{name=aster, score='5'}
Team{name=vg, score='4'}
Team{name=lgd, score='4'}
Team{name=elephant, score='4'}
Team{name=magma, score='2'}
Team{name=lbzs, score='2'}
Team{name=ehome, score='1'}
========================
Team{name=ig, score='5'}
Team{name=vg, score='5'}
Team{name=aster, score='5'}
Team{name=lgd, score='4'}
Team{name=elephant, score='4'}
Team{name=magma, score='2'}
Team{name=lbzs, score='2'}
Team{name=ehome, score='1'}
========================
Team{name=ig, score='7'}
Team{name=vg, score='5'}
Team{name=aster, score='5'}
Team{name=lgd, score='4'}
Team{name=elephant, score='4'}
Team{name=ehome, score='2'}
Team{name=magma, score='1'}
Team{name=lbzs, score='0'}
========================
Team{name=ig, score='6'}
Team{name=aster, score='5'}
Team{name=vg, score='4'}
Team{name=lgd, score='4'}
Team{name=elephant, score='4'}
Team{name=magma, score='2'}
Team{name=lbzs, score='2'}
Team{name=ehome, score='1'}
========================
Team{name=ig, score='7'}
Team{name=vg, score='4'}
Team{name=aster, score='4'}
Team{name=lgd, score='4'}
Team{name=elephant, score='4'}
Team{name=magma, score='3'}
Team{name=ehome, score='2'}
Team{name=lbzs, score='0'}
========================
Team{name=aster, score='6'}
Team{name=ig, score='5'}
Team{name=vg, score='5'}
Team{name=lgd, score='4'}
Team{name=elephant, score='3'}
Team{name=magma, score='2'}
Team{name=lbzs, score='2'}
Team{name=ehome, score='1'}
========================
Team{name=ig, score='6'}
Team{name=aster, score='5'}
Team{name=elephant, score='5'}
Team{name=vg, score='4'}
Team{name=lgd, score='4'}
Team{name=lbzs, score='2'}
Team{name=magma, score='1'}
Team{name=ehome, score='1'}
========================
Team{name=ig, score='7'}
Team{name=aster, score='5'}
Team{name=elephant, score='5'}
Team{name=vg, score='4'}
Team{name=lgd, score='4'}
Team{name=magma, score='1'}
Team{name=lbzs, score='1'}
Team{name=ehome, score='1'}
========================
Team{name=ig, score='7'}
Team{name=vg, score='5'}
Team{name=aster, score='5'}
Team{name=lgd, score='3'}
Team{name=elephant, score='3'}
Team{name=magma, score='2'}
Team{name=ehome, score='2'}
Team{name=lbzs, score='1'}
========================
Team{name=aster, score='6'}
Team{name=ig, score='5'}
Team{name=vg, score='5'}
Team{name=lgd, score='4'}
Team{name=elephant, score='4'}
Team{name=lbzs, score='2'}
Team{name=magma, score='1'}
Team{name=ehome, score='1'}
======================== 发布于 2021-09-20 09:47:42

暴走的冰女mm：随便放几个结果：
Team{name=ig, score='7'}
Team{name=vg, score='4'}
Team{name=aster, score='4'}
Team{name=lgd, score='4'}
Team{name=elephant, score='4'}
Team{name=magma, score='3'}
Team{name=lbzs, score='1'}
Team{name=ehome, score='1'}
========================
Team{name=ig, score='6'}
Team{name=aster, score='6'}
Team{name=vg, score='4'}
Team{name=lgd, score='4'}
Team{name=elephant, score='4'}
Team{name=magma, score='2'}
Team{name=ehome, score='2'}
Team{name=lbzs, score='0'}
========================
Team{name=ig, score='7'}
Team{name=vg, score='5'}
Team{name=aster, score='4'}
Team{name=lgd, score='4'}
Team{name=elephant, score='4'}
Team{name=magma, score='2'}
Team{name=ehome, score='2'}
Team{name=lbzs, score='0'}
========================
Team{name=ig, score='6'}
Team{name=vg, score='5'}
Team{name=aster, score='5'}
Team{name=lgd, score='3'}
Team{name=elephant, score='3'}
Team{name=magma, score='3'}
Team{name=ehome, score='3'}
Team{name=lbzs, score='0'}
========================
Team{name=ig, score='6'}
Team{name=vg, score='6'}
Team{name=aster, score='5'}
Team{name=lgd, score='3'}
Team{name=elephant, score='3'}
Team{name=magma, score='2'}
Team{name=lbzs, score='2'}
Team{name=ehome, score='1'}
========================
Team{name=ig, score='7'}
Team{name=vg, score='6'}
Team{name=aster, score='4'}
Team{name=lgd, score='3'}
Team{name=elephant, score='3'}
Team{name=magma, score='3'}
Team{name=ehome, score='2'}
Team{name=lbzs, score='0'}
========================
Team{name=ig, score='6'}
Team{name=vg, score='6'}
Team{name=aster, score='5'}
Team{name=lgd, score='3'}
Team{name=elephant, score='3'}
Team{name=magma, score='2'}
Team{name=ehome, score='2'}
Team{name=lbzs, score='1'}
========================
Team{name=ig, score='6'}
Team{name=vg, score='5'}
Team{name=aster, score='4'}
Team{name=lgd, score='3'}
Team{name=elephant, score='3'}
Team{name=magma, score='3'}
Team{name=lbzs, score='2'}
Team{name=ehome, score='2'}
======================== 发布于 2021-09-20 09:47:32